Consensus Reports

These reports are unique, authoritative expert evaluations. Each report is produced by a committee of experts selected by the Academy to address a particular statement of task and is subject to a rigorous, independent peer review.

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Showing results 111 - 115 of 118

A Plan for a Research Program on Aerosol Radiative Forcing and Climate Change (1996)

This report recommends the initiation of an integrated research program to study the role of aerosols in projected global climate change. Current understanding suggest that, even now, aerosols, primarily from anthropogenic sources, may be reducing the rate of warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to specific research recommendations, this report forcefully argues for two kinds of research program integration: integration of th... More >>

Learning to Predict Climate Variations Associated with El Nino and the Southern Oscillation, Accomplishments and Legacies of the TOGA Program (1996)

The TOGA (Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere) Program was designed to study short-term climate variations. A 10-year international program, TOGA made El Nino a household word. This report chronicles the cooperative efforts of oceanographers and meteorologists, several U.S. government agencies, many other nations, and international scientific organizations to study El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It describes the progression fro... More >>

Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales (1995)

This report reflects the current state of scientific knowledge about natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales. It covers a wide range of relevant subjects, including the characteristics of the atmosphere and ocean environments as well as the methods used to describe and analyze them, such as proxy data and numerical models. They clearly demonstrate the range, persistence, and magnitude of climate variability as represented b... More >>